If you love betting on football matches, then winning at it should be very important to you. After all, winning is what makes the whole experience more enjoyable. Even though luck does play a role in sports betting, there are specific strategies and systems you can use to give yourself a better chance of coming out on top.
This article will discuss what a good football betting strategy and system is, its features and the top 5 proven football betting strategies and systems that can help you win more often.
What Is a Good Football Betting Strategy and System?
A good football betting strategy and system is one that, if used correctly, can help you win many of your bets. Betting systems and strategies are designed to give you an edge over the bookies, and if used correctly, they can help you make consistent profits from your betting.
Features of a Good Football Betting Strategy and System
There are many different betting systems and strategies out there, but not all of them are good. Some of them are downright terrible and will only lead to you losing your money.
So, how do you know if a betting system and strategy are good? There are a few features that all good betting systems and strategies share. These are:
They Have Been Tested and Proven to Work
A good betting system and strategy will have been tested extensively by the person who created it. They will have tried it out on hundreds or even thousands of football matches to see if it works and is profitable in the long run.
They Are Easy to Understand and Use
A good betting system and strategy should be easy to understand and use. It should be something you can easily apply to your betting without putting in a lot of thought or effort.
They Are Flexible and Can Be Adjusted to Suit Your Needs
A good betting system and strategy should be flexible and able to be adjusted to suit your individual needs. It should be able to be tweaked and changed slightly to suit the way you bet and the types of bets you like to place.
They Have a Money Management Plan
A good betting system and strategy always come with a money management plan. This is because betting is all about managing your bankroll and ensuring you don’t go bust. A good money management plan will help you to do this.
They Take into Account Different Types of Bets
A good betting system and strategy will consider the different types of bets you can place on a football match. It will guide you on which bets you are more likely to win and which are riskier.
Top 5 Proven Football Betting Strategies and Systems
Now that you know what to look for in a good football betting system and strategy let’s take a look at the top 5 proven football betting strategies and systems that can help you win more often.
1. Arbitrage Betting
Arbitrage betting is a football betting strategy and system that has proven to work and be very profitable for many people. It is one of the most stable and straightforward football betting strategies you can use to be assured of making a guaranteed profit.
Arbitrage betting involves finding wrong odds offered that do not represent the actual probability of the event and then covering the other side with sharp correct odds to get the guaranteed profit.
For example, let’s say you find an arbitrage opportunity where team A is playing against team B. The bookmaker then offers odds of 2.00 for team A to win, but you know that the probability of team A winning is 60%. This means that the bookmaker is offering the wrong odds. You then bet on team A to win at the bookmaker with an odds of 2.00. At the same time, you bet on team B to win and the teams to draw at another bookmaker with the higher odds of 3.50.
This way, you are covering all the possible outcomes of the match, and no matter the outcome, you will always end up in profit. Even though the amount of profit will be small, it is guaranteed. If you want to make more profit, you can simply increase the number of arbitrage bets you make in a day.
2. Matched Betting
Matched betting is one of the most straightforward football betting strategies and systems to use, and it’s also one of the most effective. It involves a comparison of the odds offered by different bookmakers on the same event to find the best possible value bet.
While many crypto betting sites are offering boosted odds, welcome bonuses, and free bets to attract new customers, some regular bettors always take this advantage to use these bonuses for placing normal bets and hoping to make a huge profit.
However, using these bonuses this way is not always a good idea. It is just a waste of the golden opportunity to make a guaranteed profit that comes with matched betting. Matched betting is a technique that guarantees you a profit from the bookmaker’s bonus regardless of the event’s outcome.
Here are the steps to follow to use matched betting to make a guaranteed profit:
Step 1: Find a Bookmaker That Is Offering a Good Welcome Bonus or Free Bonus
The first step is to find a bookmaker offering an excellent welcome bonus above $20 or a free bonus. Different bookmakers offer different bonuses, so it is essential to check various sites available to confirm each bookmaker’s bonuses.
For example, if you live in Vietnam, you can check the bonuses offered by various bookmakers, including Vietnam betting sites.
Step 2: Placing of Arbitrate Bets
After finding a good bookmaker, the next step is to place arbitrage bets. This type of bet is placed on all possible outcomes of an event so that no matter the outcome or which team wins, you will have completed the requirements and be able to withdraw your bonus.
Calculating Stakes at Matched Betting:
- Find an arbitrage bet with higher returnings, specifically close to 0%
- Place the higher odd arbitrate on the bookmaker with the bonus. For example, from an arbitrage opportunity of 0% with $100, you will bet $50
- Place the lower odd arbitrate on the exchange in the same arbitrate opportunity of 0% with odds from 1.50-3.00. The odds of 3.00 should be of the bookmaker with free bonus and bets hence standing a chance of winning more.
For example, if it is a $20 free bet:
- Place on the odd of 3.00 $20
- Team with stake of 1.50: ($20 * 3 – $20)/1.50 = $26
- Stake at other outcome: $14 of profit
- Team with odds of 3: $20 * 3 – $20 stake – $26
You get $20 money back from the lost free bet; hence the team with a cover bet at the other bookmaker wins: $26 * 1.5Odd – $26 stake = $13 of profit
3. Following Tipsters with a Good Track Record
There are many professional tipsters out there who offer their football betting picks for a fee. While some of them try to sell their picks which in most cases are not that good, there are also those with an excellent track record and can help you make consistent profits if you follow their picks.
However, it would help if you were careful, as there are also many fraudsters posing as tipsters. Do your due diligence before following any tipster, and only follow those with a good track record and proven results. There are many platforms where you can find professional tipsters with verified results.
A good example is Tipstrr. This is a platform that collects tips from tipsters and displays their results in an easy to understand format. Not just any tipster can get on Tipstrr; they need to have a good track record and proven results before they are accepted.
4. Statistics-Based Football Betting Strategy
Many bookmakers today generate odds based on historical data, team performances, and other relevant factors. However, this information differs from one bookmaker to another because each one of them has its own algorithm. Some do not even have enough resources to react carefully to every piece of information, so their odds are not that sharp.
This is where you can take advantage. If you are good at statistics, you can develop your football betting model that would beat the odds set by bookmakers. All you need is a good understanding of football, a bit of programming knowledge, and a lot of dedication.
Follow all the live matches, keep track of all the essential statistics and use your model to find value bets.
5. Value Betting
This is a football betting strategy and system that is considered to be the most profitable and is used by many professional bettors. Value betting is all about finding markets in football betting whereby bookmakers have placed wrong odds, that is, odds that are higher than the actual probability of an event happening.
Check regularly on different betting sites on Asian Handicap Betting the odds of different bookmakers. Ensure each time you identify value bets, you capitalize on them to make a profit in the long term.
For example, assume that two teams, x and y, are playing and the probability of team x winning is 66%. Several bookmakers have then placed the odds of 1.40- 1.45 for x to win. However, another bookmaker has placed the odds of 1.60 for x to win. This bookmaker has probably calculated the probability of x winning as being lower than 66%.
It is from here that if we place more money on x to win on the second bookmaker, we will make a profit more than what we could have made if we staked in the first bookmaker.
As a value bettor, you should always be on the lookout for such situations and ensure that you place your bets at the bookmaker with the highest odds for your prediction. By doing this more often, you’ll be able to make more profits in the long term.
There is a nice feeling of knowing that you have won a bet, but an even better feeling is when you have won a bet using a good football betting strategy and system.
Knowing the features of a good betting strategy and system and the top 5 proven football betting strategies and systems, you can now use them to win more of your bets. Remember to always be disciplined with your betting and never chase your losses.